Michael Kaarhus
06:38 Wednesday, Aug. 30, AD 2023 GMT
Shangri-La
“And as he was saying these things to them, the Pharisees and the lawyers began violently to urge him, and to oppress his mouth about many things,
Lying in wait for him, and seeking to catch something from his mouth, that they might accuse him.” – Luke 11: 53-54 DRB
People are abuzz about Pres. Trump’s mugshot. It’s not the only one. All 19 accused got a mugshot, including Stephen Lee, pastor of Living Word Lutheran Church near Chicago.
Pastor Stephen
Maybe the collection baskets at Living Word were fuller than usual last Sunday. Maybe attendance was up, too. Who knows?
None of the defendants are guilty of any of the counts against them. But there are plenty of real criminals that the prosecutors are not indicting. So, in my opinion, the more mugshots of the defendants that people post, the greater the chances that the insidious lawfare attacks against them will be dismissed and/or defeated. But this article is about numbers, not mugshots.
Rudy Giuliani
MSM are saying that we can now refer to Pres. Trump by what they call his “prisoner number”.
It is actually called the SO number. SO might mean Sheriff’s Office, but I’m not sure.
MSM moguls want viewers to think that Pres. Trump has been successfully libeled and smeared as a criminal. So MSM newsbabes and panel members are triumphantly trumpeting Pres. Trump’s SO number. But the efforts to smear and libel Pres. Trump were either not successful or marginally successful at best; MSM are putting on an act. Here I argue that Pres. Trump was exceedingly lucky to get the numbers that the FC Sheriff’s Office assigned him.
SO numbers all begin P0. The 0 is a zero, and is followed by digits only. Such numbers are certainly neither base 10 nor octal, but could be base 26 or higher. So here I treat SO numbers as base 26, and convert them to decimal. That conversion can be done at this nifty page.
Maybe the FC Sheriff’s Office thinks of their SO numbers as base 10 with P0 prefixed. You can make a number that starts P0, but you can’t correctly call it base 10. If a number starts with P and the rest is digits, it’s base 26 or higher. There is no debating that, as far as I am concerned.
If you want to look up any of these defendants’ arrest records at the Fulton County Sheriff’s Office webform, you have to enter either their name or booking number. So here I also check the booking numbers.
Name Booking # Prime? SO # Converted to decimal ------------------------------------ Cheeley, Robert 2313856 No P01135828 5220998875828 No Chesebro, Kenneth 2313726 No P01135766 5220998875254 No Clark, Jeffrey 2313851 Yes P01135824 5220998875824 No Eastman, John 2313659 Yes P01135735 5220998875175 No Ellis, Jenna 2313760 No P01135781 5220998875301 No Floyd, Harrison 2313818 No P01135804 5220998875772 No Giuliani, Rudy 2313757 No P01135780 5220998875300 No Hall, Scott 2313655 No P01135732 5220998875172 No Hayes, Emily Misty 2313854 No P01135826 5220998875826 No Kutti, Trevian 2313863 No P01135832 5220998875848 No Latham, Cathleen 2313722 No P01135764 5220998875252 No Lee, Stephen 2313866 No P01135835 5220998875851 No Meadows, Mark 2313817 No P01135803 5220998875771 No Powell, Sidney 2313755 No P01135778 5220998875282 No Pres. Trump, Donald 2313827 Yes P01135809 5220998875777 Yes Roman, Michael 2313848 No P01135821 5220998875821 No Shafer, David 2313721 No P01135763 5220998875251 No Smith, Ray 2313725 No P01135765 5220998875253 No Still, Shawn 2313850 No P01135823 5220998875823 No
Of the above 38 numbers, only 4 are prime. And Pres. Trump was assigned 2 of them!
That in itself is lucky. Let’s consider the booking number.
What are the chances that a random number among the 1,000,000 numbers from 2,000,000 to 2,999,999 would be prime?
I wrote a script that counts all the primes from 2,000,000 to 2,999,999, and calculates what percent of that domain is prime. My script compares that percent to the theoretical result for the density of primes at x. Here is the output:
2,313,827 is the 170449th prime.
By a rote count, there are
67883 primes from 2000000 to 2999999
67883 / 1000000 = 0.067883
6.7883% of the numbers from 2000000 to 2999999 are prime.
That is known as the density of primes in that domain.
According to the Asymptotic law of the Distribution of Prime Numbers,
the density of primes at 2,313,827 is approx.
1 / ln(2313827) = 0.068239
That is 6.8239%. My rote method got 6.7883%
Pres. Trump had about 6.8 chances in 100 of being assigned a prime booking number. In terms more familiar to people that bet, his odds of getting a prime booking number were
100 / 6.8 ≈ 14.71
1 to 14.71
He beat those odds. Jeffrey Clark and John Eastman also beat those odds.
I extended my script to make the same calcs for the SO number converted from base 26 to decimal. I set it to do highly accurate (20 iterations for each number tested) probabilistic primality tests of the 1,000,000 numbers from 5,220,998,000,000 to 5,220,998,999,999. Here is the output:
5220998875777 is prime.
By a rote count, there are
34432 primes from 5220998000000 to 5220998999999
34432 / 1000000 = 0.034432
3.4432% of the numbers from 5220998000000 to 5220998999999 are prime.
That is known as the density of primes in that domain.
According to the Asymptotic law of the Distribution of Prime Numbers,
the density of primes at 5220998875777 is approx.
1 / ln(5220998875777) = 0.034149
That is 3.4149%. My rote method got 3.4432%
We are done.
Pres. Trump had about 3.4 chances in 100 of being assigned an SO number that’s prime when converted. In terms more familiar to people that bet, his odds of getting an SO number that’s prime when converted were
100 / 3.4 ≈ 29.41
1 to 29.41
He beat those odds, too!
What are the chances that Pres. Trump would be assigned a prime booking number and an SO number that’s prime when converted?
Floyd Harrison
Here’s how I reckon it:
Pres. Trump would first have to be assigned a prime booking number. He had a 6.8% chance of that. If that didn’t happen, then he would have had 0% chance of both numbers being prime. But that did happen, and he used up 93.2% of his chances in the process. Like all the defendants, Trump would be assigned a second number. However, toward the goal of both numbers being prime, the defendants had only a 6.8% chance that they would need to check the second one for primality. So, their chances of getting to the point where it would make sense to check the second number started at 6.8%, not 100%. Pres. Trump got to that point. He therefore had a 3.4% of 6.8% chance that both numbers would be prime.
6.8% * 0.034 = 0.2312%
I checked that result at omnicalculator.com, and found that my reckoning was correct.
Pres. Trump had less than a ¼ of 1% chance that both numbers would be prime. What are the odds of that?
100 / 0.2312 ≈ 432.53
1 to 432.53
If you think those are good odds, don’t give me any suggestions for which pony to bet on.
And if Pres. Trump happens to win the Presidency in 2024, and you think the odds against it were too large, just remember, the man is lucky!
President Trump
I want all the prosecutions of Pres. Trump and of his associates to fail. I want all the counts of all the indictments dismissed as the multiple instances of election interference and political lawfare that they are. All the prosecutors that are prosecuting Pres. Trump and his associates are abusing their authority by prosecuting non-guilty individuals for purely political ends, while letting murderers, thieves and the like run loose. They are irresponsible, political hacks, unworthy of holding an office of public trust. We have increasing crime and injustice in high places with prosecutors like that. So they are also unworthy to practice law. I want them all impeached and disbarred.